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Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet
Holmgren

Explosive Night
29 PRA avg
+2.3 vs 30-game avg → Stable
Next · vs Los Angeles Lakers · 08 May · Home

Explosive Night. +30% vs baseline.

Next: Home vs Los Angeles Lakers · neutral matchup

High game-to-game variance. Ceiling play with risk.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

MOMENTUM
Explosive Night

+30% vs baseline.

RISK
High Volatility

PRA swings widely game-to-game. Output is hard to predict.

CONTEXT
Home Game
PROJECTION
18% 30+ pts

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; high output volatility is the main drag.

Rest Advantage
Neutral Matchup
Home game, no flags.
NEXT MATCHUP
vs Los Angeles Lakers
08 May · 01:30 · Home
30+ PTS PROBABILITY
18%

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; high output volatility is the main drag.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

Last 5 appearances
PRA per game 30-game avg (26.7)
23
PRA
16p · 7r · 0a
5/10 FG · 2x3
2s 2b 1to · 25m
19 Apr
27
PRA
19p · 8r · 0a
7/12 FG · 3x3
4b 3to · 32m
22 Apr
19
PRA
10p · 7r · 2a
5/6 FG · 0x3
1s 2b · 29m
25 Apr
39
PRA
24p · 12r · 3a
9/16 FG · 2x3
2s 2to · 34m
27 Apr
37
PRA
24p · 12r · 1a
9/17 FG · 2x3
1s 3b · 31m
05 May
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
19 Apr 16 7 0 23 5/10 2/6 2 2 1 25
22 Apr 19 8 0 27 7/12 3/6 0 4 3 32
25 Apr 10 7 2 19 5/6 0/1 1 2 0 29
27 Apr 24 12 3 39 9/16 2/5 2 0 2 34
05 May 24 12 1 37 9/17 2/2 1 3 0 31

What NLTS sees in this data

Explosive Night: +30% vs baseline. Last game PRA was +2.3 vs the 30-game baseline (26.7).

Averages from last 5 games
18.6
PTS
9.2
REB
1.2
AST
29
PRA
TRUE SHOOTING ⓘ
70.8%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
USAGE RATE ⓘ
21.2%
Standard · Last 30 games
CONSISTENCY ⓘ
Volatile
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable 2 months ago

  • Chet Holmgren is currently averaging 16.2 points, 2.4 assists, and 11.6 rebounds per game, showcasing a solid performance with a field goal percentage of 40% over the last five games.

  • Despite the absence of recent headlines, Holmgren's consistent rebounding numbers indicate his growing presence on the boards, which is crucial for the Oklahoma City Thunder as they strive for playoff positioning.

VERDICT

With the upcoming matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Holmgren's ability to maintain or improve his rebounding will be key, especially against a team that often relies on perimeter shooting and transition offense.

Field goals

FGM 5
FGA 10
FG% 50.0%
TS% 70.8%

3-point shots

3PM 2
3PA 6
3P% 33.3%

Free throws

FTM 4
FTA 4
FT% 100.0%

Other statistics

Steals 2
Blocks 2
Turnovers 1
Fouls 0
Minutes 25
+/- 12
USG% 21.2%

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