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James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers

James
Harden

Usage Spike
28 PRA avg
-2.6 vs 30-game avg → Stable
Next · vs Toronto Raptors · 18 Apr · Home

Usage Spike. 15.4 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

Next: Home vs Toronto Raptors · neutral matchup

Production near baseline. No strong signal either way.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

MOMENTUM
Usage Spike

15.4 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

RISK
Cold Night

−30%+ vs baseline.

CONTEXT
Home Game
PROJECTION
28% 30+ pts

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; cold last outing is the main drag.

Rest Advantage
Neutral Matchup
Home game, no flags.
NEXT MATCHUP
vs Toronto Raptors
18 Apr · 17:00 · Home
30+ PTS PROBABILITY
28%

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; cold last outing is the main drag.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

Last 5 appearances
PRA per game 30-game avg (30.6)
20
PRA
17p · 0r · 3a
6/13 FG · 2x3
3to · 28m
31 Mar
26
PRA
19p · 2r · 5a
7/11 FG · 3x3
4to · 37m
02 Apr
39
PRA
28p · 4r · 7a
8/17 FG · 5x3
3s 1b 2to · 34m
05 Apr
30
PRA
21p · 5r · 4a
6/23 FG · 4x3
2s 2to · 34m
08 Apr
25
PRA
20p · 0r · 5a
6/13 FG · 2x3
5to · 25m
10 Apr
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
31 Mar 17 0 3 20 6/13 2/5 0 0 3 28
02 Apr 19 2 5 26 7/11 3/6 0 0 4 37
05 Apr 28 4 7 39 8/17 5/11 3 1 2 34
08 Apr 21 5 4 30 6/23 4/10 2 0 2 34
10 Apr 20 0 5 25 6/13 2/6 0 0 5 25

What NLTS sees in this data

Usage Spike: 15.4 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume. Last game PRA was -2.6 vs the 30-game baseline (30.6).

Averages from last 5 games
21
PTS
2.2
REB
4.8
AST
28
PRA
TRUE SHOOTING ⓘ
61.9%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
USAGE RATE ⓘ
29.1%
High Load · Last 30 games
CONSISTENCY ⓘ
Moderate
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable 4 hours ago

  • James Harden's recent performance has seen a decline, averaging 21 points, 4.8 assists, and 2.2 rebounds, with his efficiency dipping to 45.8% from the field and 41.8% from three-point range, resulting in a PRA that is 2.6 points lower than his season average.

  • The Cavaliers are adapting their offensive strategy around Harden as their new closer, which may explain the current drop in his production as he adjusts to a system focused on pace and movement.

VERDICT

In the upcoming game, expect Harden to find his rhythm as he continues to integrate into the Cavaliers' style, potentially leading to a bounce-back in efficiency and overall contributions.

Field goals

FGM 6
FGA 13
FG% 46.2%
TS% 61.9%

3-point shots

3PM 2
3PA 5
3P% 40.0%

Free throws

FTM 3
FTA 5
FT% 60.0%

Other statistics

Steals 0
Blocks 0
Turnovers 3
Fouls 0
Minutes 28
+/- -19
USG% 29.1%

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