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Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers

Joel
Embiid

Usage Spike
37.2 PRA avg
-2.1 vs 30-game avg → Stable
Next · vs New York Knicks · 08 May · Home

Usage Spike. 18 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

Next: Home vs New York Knicks · tough matchup

Production near baseline. No strong signal either way.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

MOMENTUM
Usage Spike

18 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

RISK
Cold Night

−30%+ vs baseline.

CONTEXT
Home Game
PROJECTION
27% 30+ pts

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; tough defensive matchup is the main drag.

Rest Advantage
Tough Matchup
Top defensive unit.
NEXT MATCHUP
vs New York Knicks
08 May · 23:00 · Home
30+ PTS PROBABILITY
27%

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; tough defensive matchup is the main drag.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

Last 5 appearances
PRA per game 30-game avg (39.3)
42
PRA
26p · 10r · 6a
9/21 FG · 1x3
1s 1b 3to · 34m
26 Apr
45
PRA
33p · 4r · 8a
12/23 FG · 0x3
1b 3to · 39m
28 Apr
37
PRA
19p · 10r · 8a
6/18 FG · 1x3
1s 1to · 34m
30 Apr
43
PRA
27p · 10r · 6a
10/17 FG · 0x3
1b 1to · 27m
02 May
19
PRA
14p · 4r · 1a
3/11 FG · 0x3
1to · 25m
04 May
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
26 Apr 26 10 6 42 9/21 1/6 1 1 3 34
28 Apr 33 4 8 45 12/23 0/5 0 1 3 39
30 Apr 19 10 8 37 6/18 1/5 1 0 1 34
02 May 27 10 6 43 10/17 0/1 0 1 1 27
04 May 14 4 1 19 3/11 0/2 0 0 1 25

What NLTS sees in this data

Usage Spike: 18 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume. Last game PRA was -2.1 vs the 30-game baseline (39.3).

Averages from last 5 games
23.8
PTS
7.6
REB
5.8
AST
37.2
PRA
TRUE SHOOTING ⓘ
53.7%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
USAGE RATE ⓘ
34.5%
High Load · Last 30 games
CONSISTENCY ⓘ
Moderate
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable 8 hours ago

  • Joel Embiid has averaged 23.8 points, 5.8 assists, and 7.6 rebounds over his last five games, but his shooting efficiency has dipped, with a field goal percentage of 42.9% and a troubling three-point percentage of just 7.3%.

  • His recent performance coincides with the Sixers' efforts to bolster home court advantage against the Knicks, as highlighted by his call for fewer opposing fans in Philadelphia, indicating the psychological and strategic importance of crowd support in the playoffs.

VERDICT

Looking ahead, Embiid will need to regain his shooting touch if the 76ers hope to maintain momentum in the next game, particularly against a defensive team like the Knicks.

Field goals

FGM 9
FGA 21
FG% 42.9%
TS% 53.7%

3-point shots

3PM 1
3PA 6
3P% 16.7%

Free throws

FTM 7
FTA 9
FT% 77.8%

Other statistics

Steals 1
Blocks 1
Turnovers 3
Fouls 0
Minutes 34
+/- -25
USG% 34.5%

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