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Nikola Jokic

Nikola
Jokic

Usage Spike
47.8 PRA avg
-1 vs 30-game avg → Stable
Next · vs Minnesota Timberwolves · 18 Apr · Home

Usage Spike. 17.2 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

Next: Home vs Minnesota Timberwolves · neutral matchup

High game-to-game variance. Ceiling play with risk.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

Usage Spike

17.2 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

Cold Night

−30%+ vs baseline.

Home Game
42% 30+ pts

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; cold last outing is the main drag.

Rest Advantage
Neutral Matchup
Home game, no flags.
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
18 Apr · 19:30 · Home
42%

Home-court advantage and full rest entering tonight lift the ceiling; cold last outing is the main drag.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

PRA per game 30-game avg (48.8)
44
15p · 17r · 12a
5/10 FG · 0x3
5to · 33m
01 Apr
61
40p · 8r · 13a
13/25 FG · 1x3
3b · 44m
04 Apr
62
35p · 14r · 13a
15/31 FG · 1x3
5s 2b 6to · 43m
06 Apr
40
14p · 16r · 10a
5/8 FG · 0x3
2s 2to · 31m
08 Apr
32
23p · 8r · 1a
7/12 FG · 1x3
1b · 18m
12 Apr
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
01 Apr 15 17 12 44 5/10 0/1 0 0 5 33
04 Apr 40 8 13 61 13/25 1/5 0 3 0 44
06 Apr 35 14 13 62 15/31 1/5 5 2 6 43
08 Apr 14 16 10 40 5/8 0/1 2 0 2 31
12 Apr 23 8 1 32 7/12 1/2 0 1 0 18

What NLTS sees in this data

Usage Spike: 17.2 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume. Last game PRA was -1 vs the 30-game baseline (48.8).

Averages from last 5 games
25.4
12.6
9.8
47.8
63.3%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
28.8%
High Load · Last 30 games
Volatile
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable
  • Nikola Jokic has been averaging 25.4 points, 9.8 assists, and 12.6 rebounds with a shooting efficiency of 54.2% from the field, although his three-point percentage has dipped to 18% over the last five games.

  • With the Nuggets facing a pivotal decision regarding playoff seeding, as indicated by the discussions surrounding his potential playing time against the Spurs, Jokic's performance could be critical for his eligibility for end-of-year awards.

Given the current circumstances and his recent averages, expect Jokic to play significant minutes to solidify his postseason accolades, potentially leading to a bounce-back in three-point shooting.

FGM 5
FGA 10
FG% 50.0%
TS% 63.3%
3PM 0
3PA 1
3P% 0.0%
FTM 5
FTA 7
FT% 71.4%
Steals 0
Blocks 0
Turnovers 5
Fouls 0
Minutes 33
+/- 10
USG% 28.8%

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